Tuesday, 23 April 2013

EUR/AUD EWS

EUR/AUD Early Warning system

Firstly we need to ensure that the Swing Software confirms enough detail..


Notice the WHITE star,a strong reversal signal.

Notice divergence...on CCI

Also notice a double top formation...

Now let go lower..


In this early warning system 1 hour chart...WHITE STAR.

Wa Explosion Indicator confirms the trade, 

Stochastic confirms overbought and pointing south

Sold at 12728....

EUR/JPY forms a wedge..BUY

The EUR/JPY has formed a ascending triangle..


Should now head for 13100 :)




AUD/NZD everyone is selling now BUY..


The above chart gives a good example of the SWing Trading software in action..

WHITE star the nest reversal signal in the market

Divergence on the CCI



Monday, 22 April 2013

Sterling Strength likely

GBP/AUD has had a break out....



The horizontal white line, which had been previous resistance is now acting as support..

All charts from daily, 4 hour 1 hour are now trending, you can use the Wave Hunter or the Trend Trading course to see how this works..expect this to go to 15228 and beyond.

GBP/USD CONFIRMS A SWING


The Yellow star has appeared as indicated above.

Divergence is confirmed on the CCI..Look out for a signal once the WA explosion indicator moves above the Yellow line BUY.

Sunday, 21 April 2013

The Nikkei225 Soared.....


The Nikkei225 soared at the open, extending receing gains following overall positive comments out of the G20 meeting in Washington over the weekend. The finance ministers agreed that Japan's easing measures were intended to tackle deflation, but also added that the government must define a credible mid-term fiscal plan. As hinted in the draft communique, the G20 document accepted Japan's policy was not aimed at weakening the yen, pushing USD/JPY within an earshot of the ¥100 handle.
Chinese markets were slightly lower with the Shanghai Composite down 0.4% at the open. Relative weakness was attributed to the devastation of a magnitude 7 earthquake in the Sichuan province over the weekend that left 200 dead, over 10K injured and local infrastructure in shambles, even though local officials said there would be minimal long-term economic impact.
In the euro zone, political deadlock in Italy remained in focus after an abrupt resignation of center-left party leader Bersani on Friday. Despite the growing uncertaintly, local commentators noted that the decision by Pres Napolitano to remain in his post beyond the end of his term in May was a positive development that would help usher a stronger govt.Euro opened the week slightly higher against its counterparts, rising about 30 pips against USD and 20 pips vs GBP to 1.3080 and 0.8590 respectively.

Currencies/Fixed Income/Commodities

- GLD: SPDR Gold Trust ETF daily holdings fall by 9.9 tons to 1,123.1 ton (lowest since 1,120.1 in Mar of 2010) - update as of Apr 19th
- (KR) South Korea sells 20-yr govt Bonds; avg yield 3.06%
- (AU) Australia Newcastle weekly coal exports for week ended Apr 22nd: -20.9% v +20.9% w/w
- (CN) China may cut fuel price by more than CNY400/ton - Chinese press

Speakers/Political/In the Papers

- (CN) Chinese banks' non-performing loans (NPLs) rise by 20.7% y/y in March - Chinese press
- (CN) PBoC Gov Zhou: Slower GDP in Q1 was "normal" - financial press
- (CN) NDRC's Xiao Jincheng: Sichuan earthquake not likely to have a large impact on economic development of the province in the long term; Latest death toll from China earthquake in Sichuan province seen at 186; 11.3K people injured and 21 still missing - Chinese press
- (CN) Shanghai monthly auction for vehicle license plates saw prices fall for the first time in 10 months - Shanghai Daily
- (CN) Death toll from the outbreak of H7N9 virus in China reached 20; 69-year old man among the 3 dead as of this weekend - press
- (KR) USS Nimintz being moved to western Pacific region due to North Korea concerns - Japanese press
- (KR) North Korea placed nine total missile launchers, seven of which are capable of reaching US military bases in Japan, Guam; US, South Korea observing North Korea moves for the possibility of test-fires on April 25 (anniversary of North Korea military).
- (KR) Bank of Korea (BOK) Gov Kim: recent gold purchase has 10-yr outlook in mind
- (KR) South Korea Customs Agency: April 1-20 exports -3.1% y/y; Imports -6.1% y/y; Deficit seen at $441M - financial press
- (JP) Two China govt ships spotted in the waters around the disputed Senkaku islands on Saturday - financial press 
- (JP) Japan BoJ Gov Kuroda: Explained to G20 members recent easing measures not aimed at weakening yen - financial press
- (JP) Japan Abe Cabinet approval rating falls to 66% - Mainichi press
- (JP) Japan Abe Cabinet Apr approval rating rises to 76%, +7% m/m (fifth consecutive monthly high, record high) - Nikkei News
- (AU) Follow-up: Australia Treasurer Swan: Australia lost about A$7.5B since Oct budget review due to high AUD and lower terms of trade - press
- (AU) S&P: Australia mining investment is peaking
- (AU) Australia faces decade of budget deficits - financial press citing Grattan Institute
- (NZ) RBNZ expected to leave rates unchanged at 2.5% on Tuesday (Wednesday local time) amid continued housing inflation overshadowing strength in NZD - NZ press
- (CA) BOC's Carney: Timing of interest rate hikes hinges on GDP returning above 2%, inflation picking up, and households deleveraging - Canadian media
- (US) Rebels in Russia's North Caucasus region deny any ties to the Boston Marathon bombers
- (US) Fed Chairman Bernanke to skip this year's Jackson Hole conference due to a scheduling conflict
- (DE) German Econ Min Roesler: German 2014 economy to grow much higher than 1% - German press
- (EU) ECB's Asmussen: ECB may cut interest rates further if data justifies an easing, but the effectiveness of lower rates is limited because the impact is not distributed evenly across the euro zone - financial press
- (ES) Spain Fin Min De Guindos: Sees 2013 GDP in a range of -1.5% to -1.0% before returning to "slight" growth in 2014 - financial press
- (IT) Political commentators in Italy indicating that the re-election of Pres Napolitano raises hope of a resolution to a political stalemate - financial press

Equities

- SXY.AU: Reports Mar quarter oil output at 299.5K v 322.8K bbls y/y; Rev $32.2M v $34.3M y/y
- SLR.AU: Reports Mar quarter gold output at 43.8K oz v 26.0K q/q
- OZL.AU: Reports Q1 copper output at 20.5K tons v 23.3K q/q; gold output at 30.8K oz v 32.3K q/q; Lowers FY13 copper output target
- China Unicom 762.HK: Reports Mar metrics: Mobile net adds at 4.59M
- Samsonite 1910.HK: Reports Q1 Rev $466.5M v $403.7M y/y
- Kawasaki Heavy 7012.JP: Set to launch merger talks with Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding - Nikkei News
- JFE 5411.JP: May report FY12/13 Pretax profit ¥45B v ¥45B prior guidance - Nikkei News
- Sumitomo 8316.JP: To increase retail staff by 20% to 3.5k by end-FY15 - Japanese press
- Oriental 4661.JP: May report FY12/13 Op profit ¥80B v ¥76B prior guidance - Nikkei News

Tuesday, 16 April 2013

cad/chf is almost ready



White Star confirms a reversal is likely.

CCI confirms divergence

Look out for the text alerts

GET THE TEXT TRADING ALERTS HERE

EUR/USD continues to slide....


The euro (EUR) continues to slide against the US dollar (USD) as the pair trades at just above 1.3080. The single currency has found strong resistance at 1.3140 after it had risen from a 6 month low. The pair is heavily influenced by fundamentals such as the Cyprus bailout which has set forth a new agenda for managing country’s in debt.
  • Gold (XAU) dropped a whole 150 dollars per troy ounce since Friday as the market re-evaluates its value. The yellow metal is now trading just above 1447 after news that the Central Bank of Cyprus may sell a large amount of its gold as part of a bailout deal with international lenders; such moves are incorporated in pricing in any possible effects of a Portuguese or Spanish bailout.
  • The US dollar (USD) is losing against a strengthening Japanese yen (JPY) as the US treasury urged Japan to refrain competitive devaluation. The pair, currently at 98.02 is expected by any analysts to strengthen further as Japan goes ahead with monetary easing.
  • Weekly option volatilities for the EURUSD have dropped to 8.00 as fear leaves the market amid thin news and option premiums edge lower. A good opportunity to bet on the market moving sideways.

Movers & Shakers
USDCAD
The US dollar (USD) spiked up in yesterday’s opening against the Canadian dollar (CAD) moving above 1.0190 from 1.0135 on Friday’s close. The pair, which is on a bearish trend for the past month, does not miss a chance to give traders another chance to enter.

Outlook
EURUSD Pivot Point 1.3070 with a preference to go LONG at 1.3070.
Sentiment is 40% of deals to buy EUR
USDJPY Pivot Point 98.85 with a preference to go SHORT at 98.85.
Sentiment is 43% of deals to buy USD
GBPUSD Pivot Point 1.5385 with a preference to go SHORT at 1.5385.
Sentiment is 59% of deals to buy GBP
AUDUSD Pivot Point 1.0475 with a preference to go SHORT at 1.0475.
Sentiment is 51% of deals to buy AUD
GOLD Pivot Point 1495 with a preference to go SHORT at 1495.
Sentiment is 66% of deals to buy GOLD
OIL Pivot Point 91.30 with a preference to go SHORT at 91.30.
Sentiment is 50% of deals to buy OIL
US 500 Pivot Point 1530 with a preference to go LONG at 1530.
Sentiment is 12% to buy US 500
UK 100 Pivot Point 6373 with a preference to go SHORT at 6373.
Sentiment is 37% to buy UK 100

Calendar
EUR – Trade Balance at 09:00 (GMT) Forecast 9.9B
USD – Empire State Manufacturing at 12:30(GMT) Forecast 7.2
USD – TIC Long Term Purchases at 13:00(GMT) Forecast 41.3B